In ICON’s previous work we have established the significant gaps that exist between neighbourhoods on economic opportunity, health, and crime. We know that in all three the deepest disadvantage is found in Mission Critical Neighbourhoods and Mission Priority Neighbourhoods
We know also that poor outcomes in these domains correlate significantly with one and other and are negatively reinforcing. And we know that, in Mission Critical Neighbourhoods in particular, disadvantage in these domains is not new – it is deeply entrenched and long term.
This report looks ahead.
It presents the findings of an experimental forecasting method that we have developed, which allows us to project how conditions in England’s neighbourhoods may evolve by 2030. We focus specifically on three areas – crime, health, and economic inactivity.